Connah's Quay vs Buckley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
0 - 0
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
AIR
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 3
CEF
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
5 - 0
CON
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
MOL
2 - 2
BUC
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
BUC
79%
14%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 2
POR
59%
20%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |