Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
16º
11º
45
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 0
CON
49%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
ANT
32%
27%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
CDR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAC
3 - 0
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
COR
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
CDL
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
4 - 0
CIS
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 1
CDL
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 0
POZ
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |