Confiança vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CON
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
12%
21%
67%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
VIT
7%
17%
76%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
ARN
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
5 - 1
SER
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |