Sergipano Primera Fase round 8

Confiança vs Lagarto analysis

Confiança Lagarto
53 ELO 35
2.6% Tilt 1.2%
2151º General ELO ranking 4684º
69º Country ELO ranking 159º
ELO win probability
78.7%
Confiança
15%
Draw
6.3%
Lagarto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
Confiança
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
Lagarto
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Confiança
+3%
+6%
Lagarto

ELO progression

Confiança
Lagarto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Confiança
Confiança
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2019
CON
Confiança
4 - 0
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
79%
15%
6%
53 30 23 0
21 Feb. 2019
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 1
Confiança
CON
8%
15%
77%
53 28 25 0
16 Feb. 2019
ALT
Altos
0 - 1
Confiança
CON
23%
23%
54%
53 41 12 0
10 Feb. 2019
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 1
Confiança
CON
16%
21%
63%
53 43 10 0
03 Feb. 2019
CON
Confiança
1 - 0
Sergipe
SER
71%
19%
10%
53 41 12 0

Matches

Lagarto
Lagarto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2019
GUA
Guarany SE
2 - 2
Lagarto
LAG
37%
26%
37%
33 27 6 0
20 Feb. 2019
LAG
Lagarto
2 - 1
Sergipe
SER
27%
26%
47%
31 40 9 +2
09 Feb. 2019
LAG
Lagarto
0 - 0
Dorense
DOR
29%
23%
48%
31 36 5 0
27 Jan. 2019
AFP
Frei Paulistano
1 - 2
Lagarto
LAG
42%
23%
35%
30 28 2 +1
24 Jan. 2019
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 1
Lagarto
LAG
64%
23%
13%
30 44 14 0