Confiança vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
BOC
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 1
CON
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAG
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
DOR
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AFP
1 - 2
LAG
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
64%
23%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |