Condal B vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HIS
4 - 2
CON
52%
22%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
ATL
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 1
CON
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CON
4 - 1
COD
64%
18%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
GOZ
1 - 3
CON
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
BOS
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAR
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 0
TRE
53%
23%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FAB
3 - 1
NAR
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 0
POD
42%
24%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |