Concordia Basel Sub 15 vs FC Luzern Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
6º
3º
32
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 4
CON
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
5 - 1
KRI
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TTI
0 - 1
CON
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 4
GCZ
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STG
2 - 1
CON
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Luzern Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TTI
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 2
GCZ
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
STG
1 - 5
LUZ
53%
20%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
6 - 2
FCA
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 5
LUZ
5%
11%
84%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |