Catarinense 2 Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-3
Concórdia vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 1
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 4
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAC
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFC
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAC
26%
23%
52%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 1
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 4
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
LIT
41%
24%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
2 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 0
FFC
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |