Concordia Basel vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
LAC
2 - 3
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
LUG
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 1
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
CON
0 - 4
DEL
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 0
CON
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 2
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
6 - 4
LAC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 3
WIN
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
DEL
2 - 3
WIN
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
KRI
7 - 1
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |