Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
UNI
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
NTA
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
PUE
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |