Concarneau vs Mondeville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CON
1 - 3
GUI
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CON
5 - 0
ECO
81%
12%
6%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CON
3 - 0
DIV
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mondeville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
USS
0 - 0
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ECO
0 - 0
MON
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAI
3 - 4
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
GUI
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |