Apertura Guatemala Fase final Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Comunicaciones vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 2
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
ZAC
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
4 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
MIX
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 2
ACH
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |