Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
GER
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BV5
1 - 2
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAS
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 3
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRO
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
USC
0 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |