Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
USA
3 - 3
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
COM
2 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
SSS
1 - 1
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
4 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |