Como vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 1
COM
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ASL
0 - 1
NAP
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |