Como vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 0
COM
50%
28%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MAN
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COM
2 - 2
SPE
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COM
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FIA
0 - 2
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FIA
1 - 1
ACI
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
FIA
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FIA
2 - 1
ASL
41%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
FIA
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |