Como vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
33.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 1
COM
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
COM
3 - 1
USF
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
COM
2 - 1
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
FCC
2 - 0
COM
43%
31%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 0
ARZ
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
VAR
37%
33%
31%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 1
REG
64%
25%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
PRG
64%
25%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |