Como vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
17%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
ARZ
4 - 0
COM
38%
31%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
COM
1 - 4
ATL
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
COM
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
46%
30%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 0
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
ATL
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |