Comercial vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
COM
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
RIO
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 2
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
RIO
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |