Comercial PI vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 0
CAC
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 1
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 0
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
MIX
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 2
CUI
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 0
CUI
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
MIX
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |