Segunda División Uruguay Fase Regular round 18

Colón FC vs Juventud analysis

Colón FC Juventud
70 ELO 76
-8% Tilt -15.4%
1480º General ELO ranking 853º
30º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
29.9%
Colón FC
28.4%
Draw
41.7%
Juventud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
Colón FC
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.7%
Win probability
Juventud
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colón FC
+37%
-13%
Juventud

Points and table prediction

Colón FC
Their league position
Juventud
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
14º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Plaza Colonia
50
50
100%
Uruguay Montevideo
48
48
100%
Colón FC
44
44
100%
Montevideo City Torque
40
40
100%
Cerrito
39
39
100%
Juventud
37
37
100%
Rentistas
35
35
100%
Oriental
34
34
100%
Albion FC
33
33
100%
Atenas
10º
31
31
10º
100%
La Luz FC
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Sud América
12º
28
28
12º
100%
CSyD Cooper
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Tacuarembó FC
14º
21
21
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Colón FC
Juventud
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Colón FC
Juventud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colón FC
Colón FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2024
TOR
Montevideo City Torque
2 - 0
Colón FC
COL
71%
19%
10%
69 81 12 0
08 Sep. 2024
COL
Colón FC
3 - 0
Albion FC
ALB
33%
28%
39%
67 72 5 +2
18 Aug. 2024
COL
Colón FC
1 - 1
Atenas
ATE
44%
28%
28%
67 68 1 0
10 Aug. 2024
SUD
Sud América
1 - 1
Colón FC
COL
45%
28%
28%
68 66 2 -1
27 Jul. 2024
LUZ
La Luz FC
0 - 1
Colón FC
COL
60%
24%
16%
66 74 8 +2

Matches

Juventud
Juventud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2024
JUV
Juventud
1 - 0
Sud América
SUD
60%
24%
16%
76 66 10 0
08 Sep. 2024
LUZ
La Luz FC
0 - 1
Juventud
JUV
43%
27%
30%
75 74 1 +1
17 Aug. 2024
JUV
Juventud
0 - 1
Uruguay Montevideo
UMO
41%
28%
31%
75 77 2 0
11 Aug. 2024
REN
Rentistas
0 - 1
Juventud
JUV
34%
29%
37%
75 73 2 0
29 Jul. 2024
CSC
CSyD Cooper
1 - 3
Juventud
JUV
24%
28%
48%
75 49 26 0