Colombia U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
COL
5 - 1
SVK
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
SEN
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ISR
1 - 2
COL
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
NGA
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 3
ITA
8%
17%
76%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ITA
3 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |