Colmar vs Luzenac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
BRC
2 - 1
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 0
COL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
COL
4 - 0
ASB
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
ORL
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luzenac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 0
GAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ASB
2 - 0
LUZ
62%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 1
QUE
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ORL
2 - 0
LUZ
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 0
BAY
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |