Colmar vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 1
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
BRC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
GAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
BAY
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
2 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
GAZ
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ASB
1 - 1
LUS
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
QUE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 2
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ORL
0 - 1
LUS
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |