Colinas EC vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
77.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colinas EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
CEC
2 - 1
ARA
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
ARA
2 - 2
CEC
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
CEC
2 - 0
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
GUR
0 - 0
CEC
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PAY
3 - 1
REC
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
VAC
0 - 1
PAY
6%
13%
81%
|
70 | 22 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
PAY
4 - 2
ABA
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
3 - 4
PAY
9%
16%
75%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |