NCAA Division I Patriot League round 2

Colgate Raiders vs Navy Midshipmen analysis

Colgate Raiders Navy Midshipmen
14 ELO 26
-0.5% Tilt -4.5%
47704º General ELO ranking 47708º
827º Country ELO ranking 831º
ELO win probability
15.2%
Colgate Raiders
18.4%
Draw
66.5%
Navy Midshipmen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
Colgate Raiders
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.5%
Win probability
Navy Midshipmen
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colgate Raiders
-49%
-3%
Navy Midshipmen

ELO progression

Colgate Raiders
Navy Midshipmen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colgate Raiders
Colgate Raiders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
AWP
Army West Point
3 - 0
Colgate Raiders
CRS
68%
17%
15%
15 19 4 0
03 Apr. 2021
BBS
Bucknell Bison
0 - 0
Colgate Raiders
CRS
64%
18%
18%
15 18 3 0
27 Mar. 2021
AWP
Army West Point
0 - 1
Colgate Raiders
CRS
77%
14%
9%
14 20 6 +1
20 Mar. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
2 - 1
Colgate Raiders
CRS
87%
9%
4%
14 31 17 0
13 Mar. 2021
CRS
Colgate Raiders
0 - 3
Boston University
BUA
21%
20%
59%
15 21 6 -1

Matches

Navy Midshipmen
Navy Midshipmen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
NMP
Navy Midshipmen
0 - 1
Boston University
BUA
64%
18%
17%
26 21 5 0
10 Apr. 2021
AUE
American Eagles
1 - 1
Navy Midshipmen
NMP
53%
21%
26%
26 27 1 0
07 Apr. 2021
NMP
Navy Midshipmen
0 - 2
Loyola Maryland
LYM
55%
21%
25%
27 25 2 -1
03 Apr. 2021
LMH
Lehigh
0 - 2
Navy Midshipmen
NMP
15%
18%
68%
27 15 12 0
27 Mar. 2021
NMP
Navy Midshipmen
1 - 0
Bucknell Bison
BBS
76%
14%
10%
26 18 8 +1