Coleraine vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 3
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
BAL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 3
COL
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARC
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 1
AUN
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
NEY
0 - 0
ARC
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 4
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAL
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |