Colchester United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
ARS
32%
22%
46%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
SWI
42%
23%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 3
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MKD
3 - 1
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 1
TOT
48%
21%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |