Colchester United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
DON
2 - 1
COL
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
COL
3 - 4
SUT
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
COL
0 - 1
WAL
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1993 |
DAR
7 - 3
COL
43%
29%
29%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
COL
3 - 1
WIG
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
CUM
0 - 1
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
KUT
1 - 4
CUM
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
WIG
0 - 2
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1993 |
CUM
3 - 3
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
CUM
2 - 1
WAL
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |