New Zealand National League Southern League round 17

Coastal Spirit vs Twenty 11 analysis

Coastal Spirit Twenty 11
25 ELO 5
-4.4% Tilt 12%
10606º General ELO ranking 21595º
24º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
85.1%
Coastal Spirit
10%
Draw
4.8%
Twenty 11

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
Coastal Spirit
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.8%
Win probability
Twenty 11
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coastal Spirit
+104%
-46%
Twenty 11

Points and table prediction

Coastal Spirit
Their league position
Twenty 11
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cashmere Technical
47
47
100%
Coastal Spirit
45
45
100%
Christchurch United
41
41
100%
Nelson Suburbs
29
32
100%
Ferrymead Bays
25
25
100%
Nomads Utd
24
24
100%
Dunedin
19
19
100%
Selwyn United
14
14
100%
Universities AFC
11
11
100%
Twenty 11
10º
1
1
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Coastal Spirit
Twenty 11
Final Series
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Coastal Spirit
Twenty 11
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coastal Spirit
Coastal Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
DUN
Dunedin
0 - 5
Coastal Spirit
COA
18%
18%
64%
25 15 10 0
18 Aug. 2024
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 5
Wellington Olympic
WEL
6%
11%
84%
27 48 21 -2
11 Aug. 2024
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 1
Christchurch United
CHR
24%
20%
56%
28 36 8 -1
02 Aug. 2024
FER
Ferrymead Bays
0 - 3
Coastal Spirit
COA
16%
18%
66%
27 17 10 +1
27 Jul. 2024
HCF
Hibiscus Coast
3 - 3
Coastal Spirit
COA
13%
15%
73%
28 11 17 -1

Matches

Twenty 11
Twenty 11
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2024
UOC
Universities AFC
0 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
56%
20%
24%
5 8 3 0
10 Aug. 2024
FCT
Twenty 11
1 - 2
Dunedin
DUN
14%
17%
69%
5 15 10 0
02 Aug. 2024
CHR
Christchurch United
11 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
89%
8%
3%
5 36 31 0
20 Jul. 2024
FCT
Twenty 11
1 - 4
Ferrymead Bays
FER
11%
15%
74%
5 17 12 0
13 Jul. 2024
NOM
Nomads Utd
2 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
88%
9%
4%
5 19 14 0