New Zealand National League Sur Jor. 12

Coastal Spirit vs Twenty 11 analysis

Coastal Spirit Twenty 11
19 ELO 9
-4.1% Tilt 5.2%
10420º General ELO ranking 18750º
27º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
86.4%
Coastal Spirit
9.4%
Draw
4.2%
Twenty 11

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
Coastal Spirit
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
Twenty 11
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coastal Spirit
+73%
-79%
Twenty 11

Points and table prediction

Coastal Spirit
Their league position
Twenty 11
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
49
49
100%
Cashmere Technical
39
42
100%
Coastal Spirit
31
31
100%
Dunedin
26
29
0%
Ferrymead Bays
26
29
0%
Nelson Suburbs
22
25
100%
Nomads Utd
20
23
100%
Green Island
16
16
100%
Selwyn United
10
10
100%
Twenty 11
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Coastal Spirit
Twenty 11
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Coastal Spirit
Twenty 11
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coastal Spirit
Coastal Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
2 - 0
Coastal Spirit
COA
87%
9%
4%
19 39 20 0
11 Jun. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 3
Ferrymead Bays
FER
63%
19%
19%
20 17 3 -1
03 Jun. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
2 - 4
Cashmere Technical
CAS
8%
11%
81%
21 42 21 -1
28 May. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 0
Dunedin
DUN
36%
22%
42%
20 24 4 +1
19 May. 2023
SUF
Selwyn United
2 - 3
Coastal Spirit
COA
24%
20%
56%
20 15 5 0

Matches

Twenty 11
Twenty 11
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 3
Green Island
GIA
10%
14%
76%
10 17 7 0
10 Jun. 2023
CAS
Cashmere Technical
6 - 1
Twenty 11
FCT
96%
3%
1%
10 42 32 0
02 Jun. 2023
FER
Ferrymead Bays
2 - 1
Twenty 11
FCT
65%
19%
16%
10 17 7 0
26 May. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 6
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
8%
13%
79%
11 22 11 -1
19 May. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
1 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
93%
5%
2%
11 38 27 0
X