Clube Futebol Benfica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clube Futebol Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
1DE
4 - 0
CLU
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CLU
2 - 4
IDE
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 0
CLU
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CLU
1 - 3
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PRA
3 - 2
CLU
73%
16%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 0
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 0
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
IDE
3 - 3
ORI
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 4
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
ORI
38%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |