12 de Octubre vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
12O
1 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
12O
2 - 1
CCP
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
12O
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
12O
3 - 0
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
RPA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 0
RPA
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
RPA
86%
10%
3%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
CCP
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |