Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
CES
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 4
JUU
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 2
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
CES
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ITU
2 - 0
CAM
51%
27%
23%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 4
CAM
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
LUG
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 4
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |