Marino de Luanco vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
13º
11º
33
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 56 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 39 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 30 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 21 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
LAR
62%
24%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AVI
5 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
6 - 0
TUI
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
MAR
9%
20%
72%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 0
UPL
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
AVI
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
56%
25%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SSR
2 - 1
AVI
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVI
38%
28%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |