Segunda RFEF Grupo 1 round 3

Marino de Luanco vs Real Ávila analysis

Marino de Luanco Real Ávila
47 ELO 44
-24.8% Tilt -13.5%
4574º General ELO ranking 5550º
135º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Marino de Luanco
26%
Draw
19.3%
Real Ávila

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
Marino de Luanco
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.3%
Win probability
Real Ávila
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marino de Luanco
-5%
+27%
Real Ávila

Points and table prediction

Marino de Luanco
Their league position
Real Ávila
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
13º
27
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pontevedra
39
78
84.5%
Numancia
36
70
74%
Real Valladolid Promesas
26
56
28%
Rayo Cantabria
25
54
18.5%
Salamanca UDS
27
52
15%
Real Avilés Industrial
26
51
13.5%
Deportivo Fabril
26
49
9%
Real Ávila
27
49
14%
Marino de Luanco
25
48
10%
Bergantiños FC
10º
24
46
10º
7.5%
UP Langreo
11º
24
46
11º
13%
SD Compostela
12º
22
45
12º
10%
Coruxo
13º
21
43
13º
14.5%
Guijuelo
14º
17
36
14º
15.5%
Gimnástica Torrelavega
16º
14
33
15º
21.5%
UD Llanera
17º
11
30
16º
19%
UM Escobedo
15º
16
29
17º
32.5%
CD Laredo
18º
8
17
18º
86.5%
Expected probabilities
Marino de Luanco
Real Ávila
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
17% 19%
Mid-table
71% 68.5%
Relegation play-offs
5.5% 7.5%
Relegation
6.5% 5%

ELO progression

Marino de Luanco
Real Ávila
Gimnástica Torrelavega
CD Laredo
Deportivo Fabril
UP Langreo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marino de Luanco
Marino de Luanco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2024
GIM
Gimnástica Torrelavega
0 - 1
Marino de Luanco
MAR
36%
26%
38%
47 43 4 0
01 Sep. 2024
MAR
Marino de Luanco
2 - 1
CD Laredo
LAR
62%
24%
14%
47 37 10 0
25 Aug. 2024
AVI
Real Avilés Industrial
5 - 1
Marino de Luanco
MAR
41%
25%
33%
48 47 1 -1
21 Aug. 2024
MAR
Marino de Luanco
6 - 0
CD Tuilla
TUI
63%
23%
15%
48 29 19 0
14 Aug. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
1 - 3
Marino de Luanco
MAR
9%
20%
72%
48 22 26 0

Matches

Real Ávila
Real Ávila
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2024
AVI
Real Ávila
0 - 0
UP Langreo
UPL
28%
26%
46%
42 48 6 0
31 Aug. 2024
DEP
Deportivo Fabril
0 - 1
Real Ávila
AVI
61%
23%
17%
41 45 4 +1
24 Aug. 2024
CDG
Guijuelo
1 - 1
Real Ávila
AVI
56%
25%
20%
41 48 7 0
21 Aug. 2024
SSR
UD Sanse
2 - 1
Real Ávila
AVI
72%
19%
9%
41 56 15 0
18 Aug. 2024
CAT
Palencia Cristo Atlético
1 - 0
Real Ávila
AVI
38%
28%
35%
41 39 2 0