Iberoamericana vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iberoamericana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
OPE
5 - 0
IBE
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 0
IBE
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
IBE
5 - 1
BLO
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 0
IBE
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
IBE
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
RPO
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 2
BOL
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
AUR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
BLO
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |