Ciudad De Bolívar vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
1º
14
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 2
CIB
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
KIM
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIB
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
DCM
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CIB
2 - 1
CSE
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
KIM
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
DCM
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
RSA
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |