Cienciano vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CIE
5 - 2
TOT
54%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 0
CIE
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
3 - 1
CIE
50%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 0
ALI
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
HUA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
LEO
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |