Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JWI
4 - 2
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SBW
1 - 0
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
BLO
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
OPE
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 0
RPO
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 2
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 2
JWI
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |