Liga de Expansión MX - Clausura Temporada regular round 12

CA La Paz vs Dorados analysis

CA La Paz Dorados
56 ELO 59
8.4% Tilt 5.4%
2151º General ELO ranking 3282º
35º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
42%
CA La Paz
26%
Draw
32%
Dorados

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
CA La Paz
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32%
Win probability
Dorados
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CA La Paz
-17%
+24%
Dorados

Points and table prediction

CA La Paz
Their league position
Dorados
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
16º
14º
9
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celaya
37
37
100%
CD Tapatío
31
31
100%
CA Morelia
30
30
100%
Atlante FC
28
28
100%
Tepatitlán FC
25
25
100%
Cimarrones de Sonora
25
25
100%
Raya2 Expansión
24
24
100%
Tlaxcala FC
23
23
100%
Venados FC
22
22
0%
Pumas Tabasco
11º
22
22
10º
0%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
10º
22
22
11º
100%
Correcaminos UAT
12º
22
22
12º
0%
Leones Negros
13º
21
21
13º
0%
CA La Paz
14º
21
21
14º
0%
Cancún
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Durango
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Mineros de Zacatecas
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Dorados
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CA La Paz
Dorados
Final Series
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

CA La Paz
Dorados
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CA La Paz
CA La Paz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2023
SPT
Pumas Tabasco
1 - 1
CA La Paz
CAP
39%
27%
34%
56 55 1 0
08 Mar. 2023
CAP
CA La Paz
4 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
42%
27%
31%
55 58 3 +1
01 Mar. 2023
CAP
CA La Paz
2 - 1
Durango
DUR
37%
27%
36%
54 61 7 +1
24 Feb. 2023
UDG
Leones Negros
3 - 2
CA La Paz
CAP
55%
24%
20%
55 64 9 -1
16 Feb. 2023
CAP
CA La Paz
1 - 0
Cancún
CFC
50%
24%
26%
54 55 1 +1

Matches

Dorados
Dorados
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2023
DOR
Dorados
0 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
19%
26%
55%
58 74 16 0
08 Mar. 2023
DUR
Durango
3 - 0
Dorados
DOR
46%
25%
29%
60 61 1 -2
02 Mar. 2023
DOR
Dorados
2 - 1
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
33%
27%
40%
59 65 6 +1
22 Feb. 2023
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 - 0
Dorados
DOR
52%
25%
23%
60 66 6 -1
15 Feb. 2023
DOR
Dorados
1 - 2
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
53%
25%
22%
61 58 3 -1