Cerro CA vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
PRO
30%
27%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
5 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
CER
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
DAN
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 4
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |