Cerro CA vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
2º
11
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
CER
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 0
CEL
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
CER
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
TOR
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 2
NAC
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |