Clermont vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
16º
18º
18º
50
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 0
CLE
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
REN
3 - 1
CLE
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 0
CLE
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
STR
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
MPL
63%
21%
17%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |