Clermont vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
15º
9º
29
1º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 65 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 60 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 46 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 44 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 35 |
16º
|
38% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
48% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
CLE
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
CLE
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
DUN
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
PFC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 1
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
GUI
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
ANN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
BRE
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |