FC Messina vs Portici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CIT
47%
22%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOC
4 - 1
POR
31%
23%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
USC
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 2
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |