Cianorte vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
CIA
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CIA
1 - 2
OES
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIA
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CIA
0 - 1
SAO
24%
32%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
CIA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
NOV
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
NOV
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
POR
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
OES
1 - 1
NOV
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |