Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 5-1
Cianorte vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 0
ACP
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LON
2 - 0
CIA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 2
ATP
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 3
OPE
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
CIA
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 0
GRÊ
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRÊ
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
RBB
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRÊ
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |