Série D Brazil Ronda final 1/16
Global 3-0
Cianorte vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
POR
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
CIA
39%
29%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
2 - 0
BAN
54%
27%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIA
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CIA
2 - 1
BOA
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATP
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 1
CAS
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 1
CAS
78%
15%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 1
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |