Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
16º
16º
21
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 70 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 65 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 65 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 62 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 60 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 57 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 53 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 51 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 51 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 42 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 41 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 31 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 29 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 27 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 25 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
54% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chrobry Głogów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 0
CHR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
1 - 3
STA
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
CHR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
0 - 0
GKS
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PLO
2 - 1
CHR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
POL
2 - 0
WAR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 0
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
MIE
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
ARK
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |