Christchurch United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
3º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 5
CHR
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 2
WAF
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
COA
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 4
CHR
7%
11%
82%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 0
DUN
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 0
RAA
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 6
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |