New Zealand National League Southern League round 18

Christchurch United vs Cashmere Technical analysis

Christchurch United Cashmere Technical
35 ELO 35
13.5% Tilt 12%
6672º General ELO ranking 7555º
12º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Christchurch United
19.9%
Draw
37.2%
Cashmere Technical

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
Christchurch United
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
37.2%
Win probability
Cashmere Technical
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Christchurch United
-6%
-5%
Cashmere Technical

Points and table prediction

Christchurch United
Their league position
Cashmere Technical
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cashmere Technical
47
47
100%
Coastal Spirit
45
45
100%
Christchurch United
41
41
100%
Nelson Suburbs
29
32
100%
Ferrymead Bays
25
25
100%
Nomads Utd
24
24
100%
Dunedin
19
19
100%
Selwyn United
14
14
100%
Universities AFC
11
11
100%
Twenty 11
10º
1
1
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Christchurch United
Cashmere Technical
Final Series
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Christchurch United
Cashmere Technical
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Christchurch United
Christchurch United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
1 - 1
Christchurch United
CHR
12%
16%
73%
36 18 18 0
17 Aug. 2024
CHR
Christchurch United
9 - 0
Selwyn United
SUF
94%
5%
1%
36 6 30 0
11 Aug. 2024
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 1
Christchurch United
CHR
24%
20%
56%
36 28 8 0
02 Aug. 2024
CHR
Christchurch United
11 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
89%
8%
3%
36 5 31 0
20 Jul. 2024
DUN
Dunedin
1 - 3
Christchurch United
CHR
12%
15%
74%
36 15 21 0

Matches

Cashmere Technical
Cashmere Technical
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
CAS
Cashmere Technical
3 - 0
Ferrymead Bays
FER
93%
5%
2%
35 16 19 0
17 Aug. 2024
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 6
Cashmere Technical
CAS
10%
12%
78%
35 18 17 0
10 Aug. 2024
CAS
Cashmere Technical
6 - 1
Universities AFC
UOC
93%
5%
2%
35 8 27 0
03 Aug. 2024
CAS
Cashmere Technical
6 - 2
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
90%
7%
3%
35 18 17 0
20 Jul. 2024
SUF
Selwyn United
0 - 8
Cashmere Technical
CAS
6%
9%
86%
35 7 28 0